My Favorite Albums of the Last Decade

25. Sza – Ctrl (2017)

Refreshingly vulnerable, bawdy lyrics, and featuring a vibe that shifts between neo-soul, chillwave, 80s pop, and a smattering of other influences, Ctrl is fun, but not for the pearl-clutching crowd. Standouts: Supermodel; Drew Barrymore; The Weekend.

24. The National – Trouble Will Find Me (2013)

Lyrically as cryptic as ever, Trouble Will Find Me, finds The National at peace with what they are: rich, layered, and stubbornly beautiful alternative rock. Their music is nothing if it isn’t a bit gloomy. Still, their catalog is an embarassment of riches, and Trouble Will Find Me is yet another valued addition to the canon. Standouts: Sea of Love, Graceless, I Need My Girl.

23. Junip – Junip (2013)

Junip is in essence a solo album by Swedish folk-rock artist José González, with help from sideman Tobias Winterkorn. For fans of González, Junip serves as an (somewhat) electrified offshot of his previous work. The two are not trying to set the world ablaze; and that’s okay. There is still a lot to love here. Standouts: Line of Fire, Villain, Head First.

22. D’Angelo/The Vanguard – Black Messiah (2014)

Eschewing the chill, neo-soul vibes that brought him fame, for a more muscular vibe, D’Angelo returns after a 14 year hiatus with Black Messiah, invoking clear sense of urgency and purpose. Featuring new-found skills as a guitarist, Black Messiah is a masterstroke, indicative of the times. Standouts: Aint that Easy, Charade, Till it’s Done (Tutu).

21. Japandroids – Celebration Rock (2012)

Clocking in at a shade over 35 minutes, Celebration Rock is a real romp that gets straight to the point. The Vancouver-based Japandroids never let up, with a collection of beefy rock tunes that are just as heavy on melody as they are overdrive. The Replacements are an obvious comparison, but there are other elements of punk and classic rock here that make this one of the best of the last decade. Standouts: Adrenaline Nightshift, Continuous Thunder, The House that Heaven Built.

20. The Twilight Singers – Dynamite Steps (2011)

I’ll get this out of the way now: this album is probably ranked too low. It is a remarkable piece of work. The brainchild of Afghan Whigs front man Greg Dulli, Dynamite Steps is by far his most complete and fully realized piece of work (which is saying a lot). Standard fare rockers like “Waves,” that have been the hallmark of Dulli’s sound effortlessly precede R&B-inspired tracks (“On the Corner”), and the sublime “She was stolen.” Dynamic and enriched by appearances from Mark Lanegan and Ani DiFranco, Dynamite Steps shines from start to finish. Standouts: Get Lucky, She Was Stolen, Dynamite Steps.

19. The War on Drugs – Lost in the Dream (2014)

The first of back-to-back albums from this Philadelphia-based indie rock band, led by lead singer and guitarist Adam Granduciel. Its predecessor “Slave Ambient” was refreshing and expansive. But here, TWOD are at their best. “Lost in the Dream” is a more cohesive effort, and the approach is effective. Their sound is in some ways derivative. But only in the way that an old 70’s recipe tastes when its prepared at a five-star restaurant; unoriginal ingredients, flawless execution. Straight ahead time signatures, and a synth-laden sound that is manifestly 80s, undergird Granduciel’s unique, Dylan-esque tenor. The result is one of the decade’s best. Standouts: “Under the Pressure,” “Red Eyes,” “Burning.”

18. Paul Simon – So Beatiful or So What (2011)

There’s no end to the superlatives one could use to describe Simon’s legendary music career. With 2011’s So Beautiful or So What how else do you describe an artist in full command of his writing chops, nearly 50 years years after he penned masterpieces like “The Sound of Silence”? Simon’s collaborations with South African musicians that birthed Graceland, are what introduced him to a whole legion of new fans. Those Afro-pop/rock influences that defined those sessions continued with Simon through Rhythmn of the Saints, all the way to So Beautiful or So What. Lyrically introspective, but still whimsical (the idea that even in heaven there are long lines), Simon proved here that he still had quite a bit to explore as an artist. Standouts: “The Afterlife,” “Love and Hard Times,” and “Dazzling Blue.”

One Final Thought

nbc-fires-donald-trump-after-he-calls-mexicans-rapists-and-drug-runners1Donald J. Trump ran as a carnival barking, misogynist, xenophobic authoritarian and defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, in one of the most remarkable elections in our nation’s history. Given Mr. Trump’s positions, it would be easy to view the results of the race as America’s tacit acceptance of his deplorable beliefs. But we do so at our own peril. Take Wisconsin for example. President Obama carried the state in 2008 and 2012. Yet Wisconsin voters chose to vote for Trump last night. Did these same voters that supported President Obama in Wisconsin (or Michigan and Pennsylvania for that matter) suddenly become bigots in the intervening four years? Or was last night more a reflection of our nation’s view of Secretary Clinton? It’s probably more complicated than either, but reducing this to just race or gender seems too easy.

While I’m on the subject of Wisconsin, it’s important to note that Trump received fewer votes (1,407,401) in Wisconsin than Bush in 2004 (1,478,120), or Romney (1,410,966) just four years ago. What that tells me is that Republicans simply “came home.” It does not seem to be the case that some hidden block of white voters came out en masse to support Trump.

For Democrats, it’s clear that not enough supported Secretary Clinton. Indeed, two major voting blocks within the Obama coalition – blacks and young people – either stayed home or voted for a third-party candidate. Why? Tough to say. Her long career in public life offered many targets. Comments that she made about black gang members in the 90s, as well as her reversals on issues such as gay marriage, seem to underscore a view held by many voters that she was just another politician.  Of course she did herself no favors by setting up a private email server in her own home.

In the end, elections are about “tomorrow.” Hillary Clinton – for better or worse – manifestly represented the status quo to too many voters. As did Jeb Bush, and a whole host of Trump’s Republican primary foes. Trump clearly represents a terrifying sea change. Just today, I’ve seen several teachers remark on the fears of their non-white students. That we live in a society in which young children sit in fear of our President is disheartening to say the least.

As I look back on how we got here, I have to admit that Bernie Sanders may have been the wiser choice to face Mr. Trump in the general. Given that neither Republicans nor the Clinton campaign ran any ads against Bernie, it’s tough to say for sure whether his socialist crusade would have carried the day. But at least now it should be clear to many (including me), just how deeply flawed Secretary Clinton was as a candidate.

The Best Albums of 2014 (finally)

St_Vincent_artwork10. St. Vincent
St. Vincent
Loma Vista/Republic
Release Date: February 24, 2014

The funky, synthed-out fuzzy riff that starts off “Rattlesnake” tells you all you need to know about St. Vincent. The second the song begins you get the sense that Annie Clark’s “St. Vincent” isn’t interested in feel; she’s interested in making you move. Even songs with a message (“Digital Witness”) have a certain whimsical feel. Clark has been held in high regard for years; and for good reason. Early on in her career, Clark spent time playing with The Polyphonic Spree and Sufjan Stevens before embarking on a solo career. Other career highlights include 2012’s collaboration Love this Giant, with former Talking Heads frontman David Byrne. On this, her eponymously titled fourth album, Clark appears to be having a little fun for a change.

D'Angelo_-_Black_Messiah_Album_Cover9. D’Angelo
Black Messiah
RCA
Release Date: December 15, 2014

Right or wrong, D’Angelo (Michael Eugene Archer) has always been perceived as an singer that can’t seem to decide whether he wants to be a sex symbol or an artist. Roughly 10 listens in to Black Messiah and its obvious that the singer is interested in the latter. Black Messiah utterly turns the notion of D’Angelo as some sexy R&B crooner on its head. The melodies here (“1000 Deaths” and “Ain’t that Easy”) are amelodic and dissonant. In fact, throughout Black Messiah D’Angelo’s voice is barely audible, and discerning the lyrics is quite a chore. The music transitions from the bombast of “Bomb Squad” era beats (or even early Ice Cube), to lighter fare like “Charade,” which is in many ways a tip of the hat to the Purple one. Its brilliance is not immediately obvious, as the music and lyrics challenge the listener. But in the end, this collection of music stands as one of the year’s best.

JMascis_TiedToAStar_LPJacket8. Commune
Goat
Sub Pop
Release Date: September 23, 2014

Commune has a sound that reminds me of Australia’s Tame Impala. The music is generally straightforward, but atmospherically (the usage of drums big and small, the psychedelic twelve-string Byrds-like twang) and the extended jams add a little complexity to the overall aesthetic. Add in the siren-like howls that define the vocals, and you have the perfect soundtrack to Burning Man. It’s familiar and refreshing at all once, and for that, it’s worthy of top-10 billing.

DBT7. Drive-by-Truckers
English Oceans
ATO
Release Date: March 4, 2014

Better late than never I suppose. It only took ten albums for this Athens, Georgia based outfit to seep into my regular music rotation. Of course, once I properly digested English Oceans, I couldn’t shake it. Led by guitarists/vocalists Mike Cooley (equally splitting song-writing duties for the first time) and Patterson Hood (principal songwriter), English Oceans is straight-ahead Southern rock without pretention. The music is steady but honest. And the lyrics have a certain narrative quality, as the songs tell tales seemed to be ripped from an Elmore Leonard novel. There are no bells and whistles here, but often that’s the hardest thing to pull off. Here, the lyrics, the melody, and the music take priority, resulting in a notable collection of new material.

lost in the dream

6. The War on Drugs
Lost in the Dream
Secretly Canadian
Release Date: March 18, 2014

As I write this, it occurs to me that there seems to a common thread throughout many of my record reviews: adoration for an album that I once loathed. Lost in the Dream the third studio album from Philadelphia indie rock band The War on Drugs is no different. Indeed, about a year ago, Scott Hoyer – my friend and fellow co-host of the music podcast Bring tha Noize – sent me a text heaping praise on this album. In the end, you probably know what happens next: he says the album’s great; I say it sucks, and then I end up eating my words. Lost in the Dream is a deeply contemplative album, rich with ambient sounds, moody in places, but urgent in others. It’s a bit long in the tooth though, clocking in at a shade past an hour. The opener goes on for nearly 9 minutes, and there are several instrumental interludes, placed throughout. But that’s part of what makes it such a unique album. It swells, it moves, and it takes you through a variety of different moods, one song contrasting with another in a way that’s difficult to pull off.

wye oak5. Wye Oak
Shriek
Merge/City Slang
Release Date: April 29, 2014

Shriek begins with a syncopated vamp, two notes an octave apart, teetering back and forth for a little while. It goes on long enough to keep you wondering what is to come. The drums, bass and layers of synths step in to form a vibe that sounds more like a mishmash of St. Vincent and Everything but the Girl. And less like the dreamy folk-rock this duo has been serving up for years. Heck, if you set this song (or any other on this album) up alongside the title track from the band’s breakout album Civilian, you might think it was lead vocalist Jenn Wasner’s side project. It’s as if someone hid her guitars. Of course that doesn’t mean the album isn’t any good. Sure it’s slickly produced. And yes, much of the raw energy of Civilian is missing. But still present are Wasner’s effortlessly alluring vocals, which take center stage. And there is some great songwriting here; especially on “Glory” and “Sick Talk” which, back to back, make up the middle of the album. To be sure, some longtime fans will come away bored. But the change in direction should not detract from what is a brave effort, rich with great music.

morning phase

4. Beck
Morning Phase
Capitol
Release Date: February 21, 2014

It’s hard to believe that Beck Hansen has been at it this long. After all, his first, full-length studio album (One Foot in the Grave) dropped way back in 1994. And yet here he is, just as relevant now as he was when he hit it big with the breakthrough hit “Loser.” Among its many accomplishments, Morning Phase earned a Grammy award as the album of the year. Thankfully, the award was well deserved as it is a beautiful album. It’s sonically rich, hewing closer to Hansen’s Los Angeles roots, than his more whimsical offerings. It feels like a modern take on late 70’s rock, but with richness and textures that sound more at home within the modern musical landscape. It is a mostly somber affair, as is the case with songs like “Unforgiven.” In fact, you might find it more suitable as a work companion, than something you’d put on at a cocktail party. Yet it is still a wondrous and enduring collection of music.

seeds3. TV on the Radio
Seeds
Harvest
Release Date: November 18, 2014

I will readily admit that I came to appreciate the genius of TVOTR quite late in the game. I had been familiar with their work since the early days of Desperate Youth, Blood Thirsty Babes. Eventually I met my girlfriend wife Naomi, who is a huge fan. In time I came to realize just how good they are. Having gone up and down the band’s anthology of music, I’d have to say that this is probably their “sunniest” and ultimately safest album. That I still consider it one of the year’s best should say a lot about the band’s music in general. Don’t get me wrong, still evident in their music is the nimble fusion of funk, punk rock, and electronic dance music. But what’s different is that there’s an air of mushiness that rings true throughout. Indeed, love is a constant theme on Seeds, as evidenced by anthemic rockers like “Trouble” and “Careful You.” Don’t get me wrong, both songs are strong compositions. But they exhibit a side of the band not previously seen; at least not to this degree. But don’t give up hope. I would put the rocker “Lazerray” up against anything else in the band’s catalog. Paired with the opener “Quartz” and the psychedelic “Could You,” TVOTR has nothing to feel bad about; Seeds is still a superb offering.

salad days2. Mac DeMarco
Salad Days
Captured Tracks
Release Date: April 1, 2014

The melodic guitar riffs that are papered all over Mac DeMarco’s splendid Salad Days give the album a whimsical, 80’s throwback vibe. Recorded in DeMarco’s Brooklyn apartment, the style here is a little tough to pin down. I’ve heard it called “jangle pop” (probably the most accurate description), “psychedelic pop,” and also – my personal favorite – “alt-scuzz.” On a visceral level though, the music transplants me to the porch of an old friend, taking down glasses of ice-cold vodka lemonades on a hot summer day. The music is sweet but discordant; it’s light but ultimately refreshing. My first run at Salad Days left me somewhat intrigued, so I just kept coming back for more. The half-sung melodies and catchy chord structures are easy to look past. But closer inspection reveals a more complex offering, with deft songwriting, some lyrical introspection (see “Let My Baby Stay”), and a wide palette of sounds.

elbow1. Elbow
The Take Off and Landing of Everything
Fiction (UK, Eur, Aus)/(Concord (US)
Release Date: March 10, 2014

I’ve said it once before, and I’ll say it again: Elbow is the best band no one’s ever heard of; well at least this side of the Atlantic. Sure, they have throngs of fans in their home country of Great Britain. Yes they won a Mercury Prize for 2008’s The Seldom Seen Kid. But they’re just not that big over here in the States. I doubt that will change anytime soon, but The Take off and the Landing of Everything is one more reason why it should. Elbow’s music is a little hard to describe. Lead singer Guy Garvey has probably heard more Peter Gabriel comparisons than he’d care to remember. But it is a fair comparison. Both singers have soft, smooth, somewhat higher pitched registers, that never seem to be out of tune; the comparisons don’t end there either. Musically, both acts incorporate elements of prog rock, except there are no self-indulgent solos here. The title track is quite expansive with a tribal beat, multiple keyboard and guitar tracks, and harmonies that span what seems to be a never-ending song (over 7 minutes). Yet nothing in the song feels excessive. Contrasted with songs like “Colour Fields” and “This Blue World” which seem restrained, The Take Off and the Landing of Everything succeeds in offering a collection of music that is painted on a large canvas.

Honorable Mention: Cheetahs- Cheetahs; Taylor Swift- 1989; Ryan Adams- Ryan Adams; Royal Blood- Royal Blood; Swans- To Be Kind; Spoon- They Want My Soul

To All my Sad Captains: My 2014 Detroit Lions Preview

Getty Images North America

Getty Images North America

If, like me, you’ve spent the better part of your life, rooting for a sports team, you realize just how fleeting success can be; especially if you’re a Lions fan. For as long as I can remember, Sunday afternoons in the fall have been riddled with disappointment, mixed with shame and a little angst. At this point, the very sight of the Honolulu Blue and Silver on my TV elicits a certain Pavlovian emotion of anxiety. Of course this begs the question why anyone would choose to root for a team that brings about such grief. My answer is simple, I love football, I love the NFL, and I can’t bring myself to quit the Lions. Besides, misery loves company, and in that regard I have plenty of both as a Lions fan. To put it another way, I look at Sunday NFL football this way:

“Another sunrise with my sad captains, with who I choose to lose my mind . . . and if it’s all we only pass this way but once, what a perfect waste of time . . .”

I’m not sure if any lyric could better epitomize just how soul-crushing it is to be a Lions fan.* Most years, spending 3-4 hours watching the Lions is a waste of time. Not just because they lose, but because of how they lose. To make things worse, they seem to be one of those teams that certain members of the sports-industrial complex have designated as a sleeper team this year. Such notions will only make this season’s inevitable descent into mediocrity that much more unbearable. A little salty you say? Sure, but my pessimism is borne out of a lifetime of disappointment as a Lions fan. A little hyperbolic you say? No, not really. Last season the Lions famously controlled their own destiny in the NFC North compiling a 6-3 record. With Aaron Rodgers and Jay Cutler missing significant time due to injury at the same time, a playoff berth seemed inevitable. Wrong. The Lions went on to lose 6 of their last 7; ultimately costing head coach Jim Schwartz his job.

Very little that I’ve seen or heard since then leads me to think this season will be different. To be sure, the Lions have brought in some offensive brainpower with the trio of head coach Jim Caldwell, quarterback coach Jim Bob Cooter, and offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi. Additionally, the Lions have added more offensive weapons by drafting tight end Eric Ebron 10th overall in this year’s draft, and signing free-agent wide receiver Golden Tate. However, they’ve done very little to address the defense, particularly in the back end, which is both thin and short on talent. Indeed, Grantland.com’s Bill Barnwell points out the following:

Detroit benched each of its top four corners at different points last season, and it has brought three of them back. The Lions are actually going to start Rashean Mathis this year. Rashean Mathis! In 2014! On purpose!

Leading up to, and after May’s draft, Lions GM Martin Mayhew seemed to suggest that the defense wasn’t in as much trouble as some thought. Yet, as of this writing, the Lions are trying out 12-time Pro Bowl cornerback/Methuselah Impersonator Champ Bailey. Given that fact, it’s hard to imagine the Lions are honestly feeling secure with second year corner Darius Slay on one side and the 34-year old Rashean Mathis on the other.

Look, it’s not all bad. The front seven is in excellent hands with Ndamukong Suh up front and second year guy Ziggy Ansah coming off the edge. On offense, there are some obvious bright spots with Calvin Johnson and Matt Stafford. But looking at the schedule, no matter how many ways I try, I just can’t see more than 8 wins. So there it is, a prediction; the Lions will go 8-8.

Wins: Giants, Jets, Bills, Vikings (twice), Dolphins, Bears, Bucs

Losses: Panthers, Packers (twice), Saints, Falcons, Cardinals, Pats, and the Bears (away)

Best Case Scenario: We steal one game each from the Pack and the Saints, and then find the Bears without Cutler at the end of the season to go 11-5.

*Originally I had the lyrics from this wonderful Elbow song dedicated to my 2014 Michigan Football preview, but I couldn’t get that done before last Saturday. Needless to say, I had some long weekends last fall.

The Best Albums of the 90s: The Complete List

1. Nirvana, Nevermind (1991)
2. Pearl Jam, Ten (1991)
3. Radiohead, OK Computer (1997)
4. Dr. Dre, The Chronic (1992)
5. Radiohead, The Bends (1995)
6. Notorious B.I.G., Ready to Die (1994)
7. Afghan Whigs, Black Love (1996)
8. Public Enemy, Fear of a Black Planet (1990)
9. U2, Achtung Baby (1991)
10. A Tribe Called Quest, The Low End Theory (1991)
11. Snoop Dogg, Doggystyle (1993)
12. Fugees, The Score (1996)
13. Jeff Buckley, Grace (1994)
14. Sonic Youth, Goo (1990)
15. Smashing Pumpkins, Siamese Dream (1993)
16. Pearl Jam, Vs. (1993)
17. Beastie Boys, Check Your Head (1992)
18. Outkast, Aquemini, (1998)
19. Living Colour, Times Up, 1990
20. The Sundays, Reading, Writing, Arithmetic (1990)
21. Fiona Apple, Tidal (1996)
22. Big Head Todd & The Monsters, Sister Sweetly (1993)
23. Guns N’ Roses, Use Your Illusion (Parts I & II) (1991)
24. Oasis, What’s the Story Morning Glory (1995)
25. Rage Against the Machine, Rage Against the Machine (1992)

 

“Millenesque” you say?

matt-millen-apI was none too pleased with my beloved Detroit Lions’ haul from this past weekend’s draft. But I’m not here to tell you whether any of the players that the Lions drafted will be solid contributors. After all, the draft is more art than science, as two well thought out articles released this past week made clear (see Vox.com and 538.com). Instead, I’m here to lay bare the ways in which the Lions continue to outthink themselves during the draft. Generally speaking, General Manager Martin Mayhew’s approach to player acquisition is deeply flawed. Indeed, Mayhew’s draft strategy is cognitively dissonant, incoherent, but worst of all brash. Strong words you say? Well let’s get started with Mayhew’s own words, as they illuminate the Lions’ player acquisition issues.

“I would say this. Our defense, we were right in the middle of the pack last year in points allowed; we were 15th. Our offense was 13th in points scored . . . there’s this perception that there’s this huge gap between our offense and our defense . . .”

A quote like this should give, even the most casual observer some pause. These few words uttered by Mayhew lead me to one astonishing conclusion: Mayhew can’t turn the Lions into a championship team because he doesn’t understand the team’s problems. At first I just dismissed Mayhew’s comments out of hand. Having watched the Lions religiously for as long as I can remember, this sentiment by Mayhew seemed to betray what I had observed watching Lions games these last few years. But the lawyer in me wanted to be fair, so I delved into the numbers, and as expected my hunch was spot on.

COGNITIVE DISSONANCE

Mayhew’s view on how the two main units of the team compare is divorced from reality. Don’t get me wrong, the defense is not horrible. Defensive tackle and franchise cornerstone Ndamukong Suh is one of the best at his position. The Lions also have a few nice pieces in place like safety Glover Quinn and linebacker DeAndre Levy. Upfront the other defensive tackle Nick Fairley has shown flashes of brilliance, and first round pick from 2013, Ziggy Ansah led all NFL rookies in sacks. So there’s a lot here to like. Statistically the numbers back that up to some degree:

The Good (league-wide rankings):

  • Rush Defense: 5th
  • Red Zone Defense: 3rd
  • Opposing 3rd Down Conversion: 1st

The not-so-good:

  • Sacks: 31st
  • Pass Yards Allowed: 23rd
  • Points Allowed: 16th
  • Pass Efficiency D (per footballoutsiders.com): 20th

Not alarming, but hardly championship level defense. But of course Mayhew isn’t making the point that the defense is great. Rather he’s making the point that the offense and defense are on equal footing.

Since both units were supposedly in need of improvement, Mayhew selected tight end Eric Ebron with the 10th overall pick. That selection was made to address some glaring need in the passing game, which would help the offense overall. But does the offense need improvement? Or does it need to become more efficient? Again, I would argue the latter.

Notable Offensive Rankings (league-wide):

  • Yards Per Drive: 8th
  • Total Offense: 6th
  • Passing Offense: 3rd

How these statistics demonstrate a need for more offensive “weapons” in the passing game is beyond me. Especially when you consider these figures (league-wide):

  • Turnovers Per Drive: 31st
  • Rushing Yards: 17th
  • Pass Efficiency : 16th
  • Rush Efficiency: 27th
  • Scoring: 13th

So the Lions were 6th in total yards but 13th in scoring. This disparity is likely a result of turnovers, penalties, and a running game that was effective but not capable of getting tough yards or closing out games when needed. How an analysis of these figures translates to a need to draft another passing target is unclear. If anything, it shows a need for improvement in Stafford’s decision making. But equally troubling, is this belief that the Lions don’t have enough weapons on offense. The last time I watched a football game, I’m pretty sure I only saw one football on the field at one time. If that’s the case, then will Ebron be merely taking away targets from someone else – especially with Golden Tate and his $13 million in guaranteed money in the fold – or is he really going to improve on a passing offense that is already 3rd in the league? It sounds more like a shuffling of chairs on the proverbial deck.

HUBRIS 

I told a friend of mine on Sunday that this draft was “Millenesque” in nature. Of course this was a reference to former Lions’ GM/President Matt Millen who somehow took a perennially mediocre franchise and made it worse. At the heart of Millen’s ineptitude was a belief that he was somehow the smartest guy in the room. While Millen was a member of MENSA, he knew nada about drafting. Mayhew’s performance this past weekend seemed to reflect the same belief. While Mayhew was salivating at the prospect of drafting his 4th offensive player in 6 drafts in the 1st round, the rest of the league was taking note of the Seahawks dominant performance in the Super Bowl against the league’s best offense – the Denver Broncos. Indeed, 9 of the 11 playoff teams from last year (Seattle traded out) drafted defensive players. What’s more, every other NFC North team drafted defensive players while Mayhew was busy chasing bright, shiny objects in the dark. But wait, you’re arguing that since everyone else is doing it, that must make it right? Well, yeah, in a way. But this isn’t just some misguided belief, it’s backed by data.

GOOD TEAMS FIND VALUE IN SKILL POSITION PLAYERS

It’s often been said that offense wins games, but defense wins championships. Some have argued that this is not always the case. They point to Indianapolis, New Orleans, and Green Bay as recent teams that did it with offense. I’ll set aside the obvious point that Stafford is not Manning, Rodgers, nor Brees. I’ll also set aside the other obvious fact that Jim Caldwell is 28-77 as a head coach without Peyton Manning. Neither point will make you shake your head as much as when you take a look at the drafting habits of the best teams in the league since 2000.

Indeed, since 2000, of the 10 winningest teams in the NFL (the only ones to win the Super Bowl besides Tampa Bay in 2002):

  • Only 2 teams took a WR or a TE in the top 10: Pittsburgh drafted Plaxico Burress 8th overall & Seattle selected Koren Robinson with the 9th pick
  • New England, the winningest team in the NFL since 2000 by 22 games, has never taken a WR or a TE in the 1st round
  • In fact, New England has only drafted 4 offensive players in that span (as much as Mayhew has in 6 years!)
  • Of the top 10 teams in the league since 2000, Pittsburgh has drafted the most offensive players in the first round (8); but only 2 played either WR or TE
  • By contrast, the Lions have drafted 16 offensive players in the first round!!! And 6 played either WR or TE…….6!!!!

But is it fair to include Millen’s draft in your comparison of the Lions to other teams? Well, no it’s not, but that’s not what I’m trying to do. Look, even if you ignored the Millen years, Mayhew has already equaled Belichick’s total of offensive players in almost a third of the time.

You’re not including other rounds, how is that fair? Because statistically, and intuitively, 1st round picks are indicative of where your priorities lie as a team, due to the fact that 1st round picks have the highest correlation of success in the NFL. 1st round picks are expected to contribute immediately, where as players in the later rounds are not. Regardless, Mayhew’s picks in the later rounds have been much worse, so I’m not sure if that would make his case any better. What these numbers reveal is the lunacy of focusing on offensive players. It hasn’t worked for the Lions in the past, and it is not a path that has been taken by any of the successful teams in the league. You would think that Mayhew would want to mirror the best practices of these teams; especially since he didn’t exactly learn from the master. Instead, he seems determined to repeat history rather learn from it.

INCOHERENCE

This draft was also marked by incoherence. For one, Mayhew’s actions are in conflict with his goals. And they don’t follow a clear “best player available strategy” as he suggests.

Mayhew’s stated goal was to get 3 starters out of the draft. Ebron will essentially be a 3rd WR, so I presume he will start. BYU linebacker Kyle Van Noy (whom I like) should supplant Ashlee Palmer. That leaves several projects and a kicker. The center that they signed, in lieu of drafting a corner, won’t start. Neither will Caraun Reid (another guy I like) the defensive tackle from Princeton, or Nevin Lawson, the 5-9 corner they signed. Defensive end Larry Webster played one year of Division-II football, so he’s out, which leaves kicker Nate Freese. I suppose you would have to consider Freese a starter, but I highly doubt that that is what Mayhew had in mind when he made that statement.

The facts also belie Mayhew’s claim of drafting the “best player available.” For one, he traded away a valuable 4th round pick to take Van Noy. While I liked the move, he clearly wasn’t content standing pat where they were supposed to pick in the 2nd round. If Mayhew was willing to do so with Van Noy, why wasn’t he ready to do the same in the 3rd when they took a backup Center Travis Swanson? You would think he would have been eager to put that same aggressiveness to use to fill a hole in the defensive backfield.

CONCLUSION

This probably seems like the constant whininess you hear from fans after a process that takes years to distill. But at the outset, I stated that my issue was philosophy. All of these players may end up being solid contributors in the league. Mayhew has had some success in the past with players like Willie Young and Sammie Lee Hill. I’m just not convinced that the Lions have done enough in the draft to take forward steps in what will be a tougher division. And I don’t understand the wisdom of drafting a complimentary player – and that’s what Ebron is as the 3rd receiver – at the 10th overall pick. More importantly, Mayhew’s words and actions demonstrate a lack of understanding of his own team’s issues. And his decisions run counter to the manner in which the most successful teams in the league operate.